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Corrections on foreign markets cause ripples in Bucharest

23.10.2007, 20:10 7

The Bucharest Stock Exchange has lost almost 2 billion euros of its capitalisation in the last three trading sessions, whilst the RON lost around 1.5% against the euro, coming close to this year's low registered in September.
The main indicators of the Bucharest Stock Exchange (BSE) lost 4% to 5% over the last three trading sessions due to dwindling liquidity, given that the international markets were hit by corrections again. Brokers say that the situation on the foreign markets is still not clear and are reluctant to offer forecasts for the coming period.
SIFs were the main losers yesterday, with an average decline of 2.4%, while the BET index of the ten most liquid companies on the BSE lost 0.57% after registering a heavier decline during Friday's session.
The decline on the Bucharest Stock Exchange comes at a time when the indices of the US stock markets have witnessed significant drops, of more than 2.5% on Friday and the main indicators of the leading European banks shed 1.2% to 2% yesterday. The Asian markets were not free of corrections, either, with the Tokyo Stock Exchange losing more than 2.2%.
The new corrections were caused by the statements made by the finance ministers and by the governors of the central banks in G7. They said that increased lending costs, record high oil prices and the real estate sector crisis would slow down the economic growth of the United States of America.
"The situation of the foreign markets is not clear yet. Over the past few years, the most important performers on these markets have been hedge funds and investment banks, some rather opaque institutions, whose movements not well known. They often make sudden moves that send ripples throughout the market. As long as the situation on the foreign markets remains unclear, I think we will also continue to witness significant fluctuations on the Bucharest Stock Exchange," says Adrian Manaila, chairman of Galati-based company Eldainvest.
Still, brokers say the low traded volumes on the market yesterday do not indicate massive sales by foreign investment funds, although the severe corrections that the blue chips suffered at the close of Friday's session could have been due to the exit of an institutional investor.
"The BET index dropped a great deal on Friday, and did not catch up today (yesterday i.e.), but the traded volumes were not significant enough, either. Under the circumstances, it is too early to draw a conclusion about the factors that are now moving the market. As long as economic and stock market news does not shake the market, this trend will continue in the range," believes Adrian Caramiha, deputy general manager of Broker Cluj.
Brokers feel that the main event that could nudge the market back on track at the end of the year is the initial public offering for the listing of Transgaz.
The upcoming IPO could lead to the emergence of some very attractive investment opportunities among the already existing shares on the market, because of the sales conducted by some of the investors that want to receive money to subscribe, as well as of the entry of some foreign funds on the market.
"I do believe the IPO of Transgaz will move the market and bring Romania back to the attention of foreign investors. Surely the extra money they will bring to subscribe in the Transgaz offering will be invested in the other shares on the Romanian market," Caramiha says.

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