I expect the NBR to cut the key interest rate on RON by at least half a percentage point at the end of this month, because interests on loans in RON need to follow a significant downward curve so that small and medium-sized companies could make it through this period, says Robert Rekkers, chief executive of Banca Transilvania (BT), one of the top players on the market. "I understand very well that the NBR cannot decide sudden significant interest cuts, but the trend started has to go faster so as to give the market more powerful signals, especially since the inflation is under control and the central bank has this way a window of opportunity to proactively support the economy during the current negative context," Rekkers told ZF in an interview. The Board of Directors has its next monetary policy meeting scheduled for June 30, with the rate currently standing at 9.5%, 0.75% less than the level in effect at the beginning of the year. Erste Group, the majority shareholder of BCR anticipates that NBR’s rate will go down to 8.75% until September, an estimate shared by ING, whose analysts think the moves will take place by August.
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